RISK ASSESSMENT ASSIGNMENT

Risk Assessment Assignment

Table of Contents

Abstract2

Executive Summary3

Realistic Hazard Scenario4

The Study Area8

Data Gathering9

Analysis of Historical Information13

Hazard Assessment14

Vulnerability Assessment18

Cost Estimation21

Risk Assessment22

Conclusion26

References28

Abstract

This briefing document contains a power point presentation and an executive briefing paper. The aim of this assignment is to tie together the sequential steps required to effectively pinpoint and gauge the potential effects of hazard, each student will produce an Executive Risk Assessment Project of sufficient quality that it could be used as the basis for developing subsequent risk mitigation plans and programs. For the purpose of this assignment, we have selected UNESCO sponsored project on “Capacity Building for Natural Disaster Reduction”. A case study was carried out on multi-hazard risk assessment of the city of Turrialba, located in the central part of Costa Rica. The resulting database can be a tool for local authorities to determine the effect of certain mitigation measures, for which a cost-benefit analysis can be carried out. The database also serves as an important tool in the disaster preparedness phase of disaster management at the municipal level.

Risk Assessment Assignment

Executive Summary

In the framework of the UNESCO sponsored project on “Capacity Building for Natural Disaster Reduction” a case study was carried out on multi-hazard risk assessment of the city of Turrialba, located in the central part of Costa Rica. The city with a population of 33,000 people is located in an area, which is regularly affected by flooding, landslides and earthquakes. In order to assist the local emergency commission and the municipality, a pilot study was carried out in the development of a GIS -based system for risk assessment and management.

The work was made using an orthophoto as basis, on which all buildings, land parcels and roads, within the city and its direct surroundings were digitized, resulting in a digital parcel map, for which a number of hazard and vulnerability attributes were collected in the field. Based on historical information a GIS database was generated, which was used to generate flood depth maps for different return periods. For determining the seismic hazard a modified version of the Radius approach was used and the landslide hazard was determined based on the historical landslide inventory and a number of factor maps, using a statistical approach.

The cadastral database of the city was used, in combination with the various hazard maps for different return periods to generate vulnerability maps for the city. In order to determine cost of the elements at risk, differentiation was made between the costs of the constructions and the costs of the contents of the buildings. The cost maps were combined with the vulnerability maps and the hazard maps per hazard type for the different return periods, in order to obtain graphs of probability versus potential damage.

Realistic Hazard Scenario

The increased vulnerability of many urban areas, especially in developing countries is a major reason of concern (Munich Re., 2000). Therefore emphasis should be given to the reduction of vulnerability in urban areas, which requires an analysis of potential losses in order to make recommendations for prevention, preparedness and response ...