The prime goal of forecasting is to recognise the full range of possibilities opposite a company, humanity, or the world at large. In this item, Saffo demythologizes the forecasting process to help bosses become complicated and participative buyers of outlooks, rather than passive absorbers. He illustrates how to use outlooks to at one time broaden comprehending of possibilities and slender the decision space inside which one must workout intuition. The events of 9/11, for example, were a much bigger shock than they should ...