1. Which option delivers the maximum profit for the supply chain: Sandra's plan, Bill's plan, or no promotion plan at all?
For the supply chain management decision, we need to evaluate the proposals submitted by both Bill and Sandra and as well gauge the impact of no promotion on the profitability of the company. For this reason, through analysis was done on the proposal and based on certain models (refer to excel sheet for detailed calculations) and profitability was calculated based on the demand forecasts. These demand forecasts were based on the variables that were highlighted in both the proposals; Sandra was mainly concerned with controlling costs and she proposed that price be lowered by $5 for the month of September while Bill thought of bringing the same promotion in the month of November.
Sandra's idea would increase the demand by 50 percent due to the promotional offer and the resulting demand forecasts would be;
Demand (Sandra's Idea)
Month
Demand Forecast
July
100,000
August
110,000
September
324,000
October
126,000
November
175,000
December
300,000
Based on the demand forecast, there were certain variables taken into consideration to determine the total costs of the sales and obtain profitability values. The detailed computations are given in the attached excel sheet. A precise income statement of Sandra's proposal is given below;
Total Cost =
$ 17,184,437.50
Total revenue =
$ 56,750,000.00
Profit = $ 39,565,562.50
Bill's idea also resulted in a shift in the demand for that particular interim. The demand for the quarter as per the proposed plan is given below;
Demand (Bill's Idea)
Month
Demand Forecast
July
100,000
August
110,000
September
130,000
October
180,000
November
465,000
December
210,000
After the demand forecast, all the relevant variables were taken into consideration to determine the total costs and profitability was obtained based on the sales and revenue figures. The detailed computations are given in the attached excel sheet. A precise income statement of Bill's proposal is given below;
Total Cost =
$ 19,032,410.68
Total revenue =
$ 59,750,000.00
Profit = $ 40,717,589.32
The profitability figure of the November promotion plan as proposed by Bill is greater and so far, Bill's idea proves to be fruitful for the company. Yet, there still remain a third step to reach to a decision and strategize accordingly. The next step was followed by going through the same computation with no promotion at all, this step would give significant input to guide the decision making process.