Causes of a budget deficit in developing countries
Causes of a budget deficit in developing countries
Budget deficit
The budget deficit is the most important part of any economy that needs to put under control because increasing budget deficits tends to increase different problems in the economy. An estimated 3% budget deficit is considered as normal for any developing economy. The developing economies like China, Syria, Pakistan and Japan etc are facing budget deficits due to various reasons which have destabilized their economy to an extent (Jones, 1997). There are some facts about the budget deficits in the developing countries which are recognized and focused in the whole world. Following are the developing countries which are facing budget deficits either more or less:
Argentina
Bolivia
Botswana
Brazil
Bulgaria
Burkina
Burundi
Cameroon
Chad
Chile
China
Colombia
Congo
Costa Rica
Côte d'Ivoire
Dominican
Ecuador
Egypt
Ethiopia
Fiji
Ghana
Guatemala
Haiti
Hungary
India
Indonesia
Iran, Islamic Republic of
Jamaica
Jordan
Kenya
Korea
Lesotho
Malaysia
Mauritius
Morocco
Nepal
Nicaragua
Pakistan
Panama
Papua New Guinea
Paraguay
Peru
Philippines
Senegal
Seychelles
Sierra Leone
Sri Lanka
Republic of St. Lucia
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Dem. Rep. of Madagascar Swaziland
Thailand
Togo
Republic Mexico Trinidad and Tobago
Tunisia
Facts about budget deficit in developing countries
Budget deficits directly affect the output, money supply, balance of payments, domestic price level and international reserves.
One major issue in developing countries is that to finance their domestic credit, it starts to speed up its money supply over the demand which certainly resulted in foreign reserve outflows (Mankiw, Romer, and Weil 1992).
The monetary expansion in developing countries which is connected with incredible sources to finance their huge budget deficits is the major reason that contributes to balance of payments disequilibrium.
In these countries capital markets are not developed and are in developing phase and interest rates which are determined sometimes creates financial environment in which built-in bias has been created towards the money supply expansion. Thus in presence of constraints of supply, surplus of money supply contributes to expand imports and general price level (Mankiw, Romer, and Weil 1992).
The average budget deficit of China is calculated to be -1.94% of the GDP reaching its all time high 0.58% in December 2007 and a record low of -3.05% of GDP in December 1991.
Similarly, the budget deficit of Pakistan varies between 5.4% to 8.7% of the GDP since the two decades. An estimated 6% budget deficit faced by Pakistan every year. Pakistan has been suffering continuously since last 65 years and the deficit is managed through international loans and because of that the debt has become so huge that it has now started to destabilize the country's economic growth.
The budget deficit which Japan is facing is the structural deficit and therefore it is uncertain that if will change for better. The long time budget deficit has made Japan to face the debt crunch. The reduction in the social security money has almost reached to 0.8% of the GDP and the Japan budget deficit reached to record 6.8% of the GDP in 1999 but it was controlled to 1.4% in the same year (Jones, 1997).
Syria, being another developing country recorded a recent budget deficit of $4.8 billion i.e. 9% of their GDP. The main reasons for this deficit were certainly political issues and international loans.